Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.000032 0.000037 0.000042 0.000047 0.000053 0.000059 0.000067
2024-10-27 0.000026 0.000032 0.000039 0.000047 0.000057 0.000069 0.000083
2024-11-03 0.000021 0.000028 0.000036 0.000047 0.000060 0.000076 0.000096
2024-11-10 0.000019 0.000026 0.000036 0.000048 0.000064 0.000084 0.000111
2024-11-17 0.000017 0.000025 0.000035 0.000049 0.000068 0.000092 0.000125
2024-11-24 0.000015 0.000023 0.000034 0.000050 0.000071 0.000100 0.000140
2024-12-01 0.000013 0.000021 0.000032 0.000049 0.000072 0.000104 0.000150
2024-12-08 0.000012 0.000020 0.000031 0.000048 0.000073 0.000108 0.000160
2024-12-15 0.000011 0.000019 0.000030 0.000048 0.000076 0.000115 0.000173
2024-12-22 0.000010 0.000018 0.000030 0.000050 0.000080 0.000123 0.000190
2024-12-29 0.000010 0.000017 0.000030 0.000050 0.000083 0.000130 0.000204
2025-01-05 0.000009 0.000017 0.000030 0.000052 0.000087 0.000139 0.000222
2025-01-12 0.000008 0.000016 0.000029 0.000051 0.000087 0.000142 0.000230
2025-01-19 0.000008 0.000015 0.000028 0.000051 0.000089 0.000149 0.000246
2025-01-26 0.000007 0.000014 0.000027 0.000050 0.000090 0.000153 0.000257
2025-02-02 0.000006 0.000014 0.000027 0.000052 0.000094 0.000162 0.000277
2025-02-09 0.000006 0.000013 0.000027 0.000053 0.000097 0.000170 0.000295
2025-02-16 0.000006 0.000013 0.000027 0.000053 0.000101 0.000179 0.000314
2025-02-23 0.000005 0.000012 0.000026 0.000053 0.000101 0.000182 0.000325
2025-03-02 0.000005 0.000012 0.000025 0.000052 0.000101 0.000186 0.000336
2025-03-09 0.000005 0.000011 0.000025 0.000052 0.000104 0.000193 0.000353
2025-03-16 0.000004 0.000011 0.000025 0.000054 0.000109 0.000205 0.000378
2025-03-23 0.000004 0.000011 0.000025 0.000054 0.000111 0.000212 0.000397